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Trudeau proclaims earning fewer votes than in 2019 is a ‘clear mandate’

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The night before the election, the first known colour photograph of Justin Trudeau in blackface was released online. The next evening a beleaguered Prime Minister told supporters that despite the loss of 3 cabinet ministers and garnering a minimal improvement in seats, “What we’ve seen tonight is that millions of Canadians voted for a progressive plan.” (Photos: Twitter)

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The minds of very few Canadians were changed in the course of the federal election by the major parties, and in particular when it came to the insistence of the Prime Minister that being held to account by the opposition parties in Parliament justified calling a $615M election so voters could empower him with a majority to enable every vote-buying spending program he desired.

“Election proved nothing” pollster Angus Reid tweeted. “The Bloc surge because of the Shachi Bill 21 “question” didn’t materialize, the prediction of Liberal popular vote win didn’t happen. Nothing happened! Trudeau got less than 1/3 of the popular vote. He treats the election as a victory?”

As of our deadline, his Liberal Party had not cracked 160 seats, and the results left Justin Trudeau counting on the pro-spending, pro-tax NDP to continue to prop up his government. While Trudeau’s team had fortified their dominance in the GTA and expanded in the Vancouver region, three women in his cabinet were turfed by voters in the aftermath of the revelations in the book of his former Justice Minister, Jody Wilson-Raybould, of how she was pressured to lie and avert a prosecution of a Trudeau ally and how he was generally, ‘not a feminist’. Thus the trio won’t qualify for a $71,000 a year pension after falling 30 days short of the required six years of Parliamentary service.

Local issues undercut Fisheries Minister Bernadette Jordan in the Nova Scotia riding of South Shore-St. Margarets, while Seniors Minister Deb Schulte in the GTA riding of King-Vaughan could not build on her 200 vote margin from 2019 despite Trudeau holding a backyard rally with her during the campaign. The cutback on polling stations and long line-ups in the riding – with Liberal supporters leaving in frustration during election day while opposition supporters reportedly staying in line until 11.30 pm that night to cast their ballot – may have contributed to her defeat. 

For Rural Economic Development Minister Maryam Monsef, she has only herself to blame for losing Peterborough-Kawartha. “I want to take this opportunity to speak to our brothers, the Taliban,” Monsef said during a news conference on Aug. 25 about the plight of Canadians and allies stranded in Afghanistan. In the following weeks the Conservative candidate, former CHEX-TV broadcaster Michelle Ferreri, surged to the lead when voters didn’t buy Monsef’s claim the “brothers” salutation to a recognized terror group that tortures and murders women as a matter of policy was merely a cultural reference among Muslims.

Although the Liberals also looked towards the capture of 2 seats in Alberta as a bright light, there was immediate controversy surrounding the pre-election antics of one of the victors. Calgary-Skyview candidate George Chahal was captured by a doorbell camera Sunday night removing the incumbent Conservative candidate’s flyer from the door of an accountant’s home Sunday night and leaving one of his own. “Taking stuff off my property, and leaving something else — I would do anything to have him charged,” Glenn Pennett told the Sun.

It is in fact a very serious criminal offence to interfere with the distribution of election material. Therefore Chahal, a one-term city councillor, may be deemed a non-Liberal for caucus purposes just like Kevin Vuong, who was dropped by the party over an undisclosed sexual assault charge days before the vote yet was still elected in Spadina-Fort York.

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NDP left flank fires flack at central campaign

While NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh is positioned to once again prop up Trudeau, he did not actually state in his election night speech he would do so. On the one hand, he knows that well over 60% of voters did not believe Trudeau deserves another term in office. On the other hand, Singh knows Trudeau is over a barrel on promises for social programs the NDP likes such as the “$10 a day daycare”.

Whereas one commentator opined that “It would be a fool’s errand to challenge his leadership at the very time the NDP can influence public policy priorities,” it is not unnoticed that the NDP has dropped from 44 seats in 2015 to about 25 seats today, and the glory days of unions in Atlantic Canada delivering seats has evaporated. Election spending doubled to $25M to gain what looks to be a single seat, and fall under 2.9 million ballots. (That represents a loss of almost 570,000 votes since 2015.)

Jessa McLean, the president of the NDP riding association in York Simcoe, detailed a brewing split in the party over not only Singh’s results, but his refusal to properly fund grassroots campaigns.

“NDP federal council took the rebates from the local Ridings and poured it all into @theJagmeetSingh ’s image and campaign.” she tweeted on Tuesday. “We invested nothing in the ground. Two elections: Down 11 seats. PPC made more gains than us. We’re not a movement. We’re an ad campaign.” 

A leader of the hard-left faction in the New Democratic Party claims the Jagmeet Singh-centered election campaign failed because of “neo-liberals and marketing people in charge of a political movement ” who, says Jenna McLean, “See zero value in the grassroots.” (Photo: Twitter)

McLean, who lost her bid to become party president at the spring convention, alleges that donations designated for local ridings are scooped by the central office and that online fundraising links don’t work. Another NDP campaign worker related that in her area, “Signs were up late, riding association is nonexistent. Little ground game (despite [the candidate’s] personal efforts).”

McLean replied: “Many, many Ridings had no one ‘pulling the vote’. That means no rides to the polls available. No reminder calls. No flyer to the door. Possibly no signs. Those rebates were everything. Some even started in debt – if anyone there at all.”

Decrying the spending focus on Singh’s personal brand and pop culture style instead of developing a ground game to win votes, she explained “Anne McGrath is the National Director. This is mostly her doing. She’s personally stood behind many of these decisions. Proudly. Jagmeet has made her dictator within our Party… This happens because we’ve put neoliberals and marketing people in charge of a political movement. They see zero value in the grassroots. In fact, I believe they fear it. Why else keep us struggling and disconnected from each other and potential supporters?”

A party set-to with McLean and her cohorts was to be Zoomed on Sunday.

Former Trudeau cabinet minister Jane Philpott congratulated fellow ousted cabinet member Jody Wilson-Raybould “for calling out the racism and misogyny” of the Trudeau regime, while lamenting that the voters “keep rewarding symbolism over substantive change.” (Image: Twitter)

O’Toole promises to keep steering to the centre

You’d have to look high and low during election night TV coverage to see any outlets highlight the fact that Erin O’Toole’s party won the most votes in the 2021 election. That means, regardless of how much support may or may not have been lost to the People’s Party of Canada, the Conservative Party is the most popular federal party in the country (CBC in particular did not seem to want their 2 million viewers to know this was the case). In his concession speech, rather than make this point, he chose instead to remind voters that this campaign was about the naked ambition of Justin Trudeau and if another election is sprung,  his party will hold open a big tent for soft-Liberal voters to come on in.

While O’Toole made no net advancement in seats, he held the Trudeau victory to the lowest percentage support in history, making a mockery of any claim to a “clear mandate” for Trudeau’s policy ideas. The current results pretty much pegged the CPC at 34%, perhaps .5% behind the prior Scheer campaign. With 7 ridings yet to be declared, they seem to have dropped about 600,000 voters from the last campaign – almost exactly as the Liberals did.

Once again the Conservative campaign failed to break the Liberal monopoly around Toronto. Rookie Melissa Lantsman did attain a win in Thornhill to retain the seat, and she hopes to join Marty Morantz of Winnipeg as the Jewish members of the O’Toole caucus. At press time with the votes just counted, Morantz holds a 24 vote lead over rival Liberal, Doug Eyolfson, and a recount will be in order.

The fact remains that had Justin Trudeau fulfilled his 2015 promise to institute proportional representation, Erin O’Toole would be in the driver’s seat. But Trudeau didn’t and may never again speak of it.

In assessing why the votes failed to materialize for the Tories to gain ground in the GTA and elsewhere and form government, a longtime astute Winnipeg blogger evaluated some of the demographic data on election night as the vote unfolded.  Among the findings of Kevin McDougald, using his TestTracker spreadsheet, were these points of interest:

“Tories also seem to have lost support among higher-income households, another Tory core, plus foreign-born Canadians, Metis voters, and those tradespeople who swung their way in 2019. NDP seem to have made gains along 20-44s and among foreign born Canadians… and those particularly of Asian and sometimes African heritage. They even seem to have worked their way into some of those better-off households the Conservatives lost support among.”

Re-elected in Chilliwack—Hope for the fourth consecutive time, Mark Strahl of the CPC tweeted, “While some of us get to celebrate today, we lost a solid, diverse group of MPs last night. We need to determine why we lost major ground in the GTA and Metro Vancouver. We owe it to our party volunteers, donors, members & activists to critically examine every aspect of the campaign.”

As for  the election outcome, McDougald concluded: “The family-age demographic might not have won it for the Liberals, but it sure looks like they helped the NDP and hindered the Conservatives. If they were voting for a minority gov’t to prevent the Libs from doing an electoral reform-style U-turn on childcare, they got it.”

Signing the ‘Vote Palestine’ pledge didn’t prove to be a factor in the election as 68 of the 71 supporters went down to defeat. Two of the victors are NDP holdovers from the last Parliament, and the third, Green Party candidate Mike Morrice, got a lucky break when the Liberal holdover had to drop his campaign. (Image: CJPME)

Troika elected from Israel-hating pledge slate  

A late rush drove the total number of candidates signing an anti-Israel pledge circulated by pro-Palestinian activists to a total of 71, with a total of 3 signatories going to Ottawa. Incumbent “Vote Palestine” supporters Niki Ashton (Manitoba, NDP) and Alexandre Boulerice (Quebec, NDP) are joined by Mike Morrice (Ontario, Green) in “taking concrete action against Israeli violations of human rights and international law!”

The last surviving NDP MP from the Jack Layton ‘Orange Wave’ of 59 Quebec MPs a decade ago, Bolderice is a sort-of provisional member of the campaign, as the organizers noted he “*Supports 3/4 of the Vote Palestine platform. Boulerice supports the labelling of goods from illegal settlements, but he is not in favour of a full ban.”

Morrice benefitted from a lucky break in Kitchener Centre and amassed almost 18,000 votes when Liberal incumbent Raj Saini withdrew from the race on Sept. 4 after allegations of him harassing female staffers. Morrice outdistanced the Tory contender by about 5000. A Palestinian-Canadian woman running for the NDP who had also signed the pledge came a poor third in the riding, barely ahead of the disgraced Saini.

By party lines, the Green Party ramped up support for the pledge in the final days to tie the NDP with 25 candidates each, the Communists finished with 19, and 2 members of the Bloc Quebecois joined the parade supporting the anti-Israel campaign, coordinated by CJPME, the Arab Canadian Lawyers Association, Independent Jewish Voices Canada, Just Peace Advocates, and the Palestine Youth Movement Toronto.

Yet another campaign sign was marked with ugly Nazi references in the last days of the election, in this case of a Liberal MP from Winnipeg South. (Photo: Facebook)

Nazi graffiti marrs campaign

Incidents of defaced campaign signage abounded across provincial and party lines during the campaign, as vitriol was directed towards politicians and their parties with some smears such as ‘fascist’ becoming standard and a marked increase in references to Hitler’s Germany, Satan, and worse.

So random were the targets that in the final days, the face of Winnipeg Liberal Terry Duguid in suburban Winnipeg South was labeled on one sign with everything he isn’t: a Nazi, Hitler, or the devil. Such character attacks on Duguid and other Liberals in Winnipeg failed to diminish their support.

Meanwhile a controversial Liberal from Fredericton survived a challenge from the Tories and will return to Trudeau’s caucus. Green MP Jennica Atwin had called Annamie Paul’s statement on violence in the Palestinian Territories “completely inadequate” and called on Israel to “#EndApartheid” in a Twitter post on May 11, which she subsequently apologized for and deleted. She crossed the floor to join the Liberals the next month, impugning the Green Party’s Jewish leader on her way out the door. Atwin kept a lid on her views of Israel and Zionism during the campaign, and after the mail-in votes were tabulated crept 500 votes ahead to hold her seat.

As for Paul, she failed for the third time in Toronto Centre, and her party elected only a pair of MPs, the aforementioned anti-Israel Morrice, and former leader Elizabeth May. Between the two of them, the pair of MPs did not draw 40,000 votes. 

Despite 15 years of oversized media coverage of their core environmental issues, Green Party support has cratered to 2.3% and under 400,000 ballots nationally, and were more than doubled in each measure by Maxime Bernier’s PPC (5.0% and 830,000 votes). This result changes the eligibility for any future leader’s debate, putting Paul, were she to remain, on the outside looking in.  

Marty Gold is the Editor-in -Chief of TheJ.ca. Known for investigative reporting, he has specialized in covering municipal and provincial politics, and a wide range of sports and entertainment, in newspapers, magazines, online, and on his first love, radio. His business and consulting experience includes live events and sales, workplace safety, documentary productions, PR, and telecommunications in Vancouver, Los Angeles and across Canada, and as a contestant on CBC-TV Dragons Den.

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Thank you for choosing TheJ.Ca as your source for Canadian Jewish News.

We do news differently!

Our positioning as a Zionist News Media platform sets us apart from the rest. While other Canadian Jewish media are advocating increasingly biased progressive political and social agendas, TheJ.Ca is providing more and more readers with a welcome alternative and an ideological home.

We revealed the incursion of anti-Israel progressive elements such as IfNotNow into our communities. We have exposed the distorted hateful agenda of the “progressive” left political radicals who brought Linda Sarsour to our cities, and we were first to report on many disturbing incidents of Nazi-based hate towards Jews across Canada.

But we can’t do it alone. We need your HELP!

Our ability to thrive and grow in 2020 and beyond depends on the generosity of committed readers and supporters like you.

Monthly support is a great way to help us sustain our operations. We greatly appreciate any contributions you can make to support Jewish Journalism.

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